Risk vs. Experience

Never get too comfortable

Consider some statistics from the Hurt Report about riding experience: If the average risk is considered to be 1.0 and above 1.0 is a higher than average risk and bellow 1.0 is less than average risk, consider the following chart for experience and riding:

Experience Riding in Traffic Risk

  • 0-6 months 1.40
  • 7-12 months 0.96
  • 13-24 months 0.93
  • 25-36 months 1.52
  • 37-48 months 0.98
  • 48+ months 0.83

Statistics from Hurt Report

Looking at these numbers as expected the new rider has an above average risk.

From 6 months to 24 months riders are about average risk.

Thinking about this time frame a rider’s skills are proficient and they are still maintaining a respect for the risk associated with riding. They are trying to be safe.

From 25 to 36 months there is a drastic rise in a rider’s risk.

Why does this happen? The theory here is riders get comfortable, perhaps think they have learned it all, they have not had an accident or good scare in a while and start getting a little cocky perhaps.

After 36 months risk drop below average. Theory for me here is during the 25-36 month stage those that stopped being vigilant either died, were scared into better practices, or wised up for other reasons. Result is if you can remain vigilant during the 2-3 year time frame, after your 3 year anniversary most riders are better and better as time goes on, no playing around. We should never become too comfortable. It can happen at any time.

Always remember, you can:

Reduce your risk by being vigilant mentally while riding. Being safe is more mental than physical skills, just because you know how to physically operate your ride, we must keep a high level of mental attention always, or do not ride. Stay vigilant mentally while riding on every ride, no matter how long you have been riding.

Remember,
ALL THE GEAR ALL THE TIME. (ATGATT)

Most of all, ride safe and have fun!
Your PA District Educators Gerry and Bonnie Kerkeslager

 

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